Murid live latest posts. Vyshemir: My journal is LiveJournal. When did the blog start?

Anatoly Nesmiyan speaks about his perception of Putin's speech at Valdai.

Since Nesmiyan really has a sect on his blog - he allows comments only to carefully selected friends (he has a clear marker, everyone who leaves comments with him should be personally devoted to him), I decided to briefly tell what I think about his text on my blog .

First of all, I decided to separate the flies from the meatballs at Murid's.

"Flies" there are Anatoly's emotional rantings. Cutlets are already the essence of what Murid writes about. His emotional rantings turned out to be 80% of nothing. There is nothing to comment on them and I will omit them. There is nothing to discuss, except for the author's emotional perception of Putin. Such a perception is Anatoly's problem.

Found and "cutlets". Anatoly tried to justify why he did not like it. Unlike Anatoly, my answer to him will not be based on water and emotions, but go clearly point by point.

1) He didn't like it that in the event of a nuclear attack on Russia, the aggressor must know that retaliation is inevitable, that he will be destroyed in the event of a nuclear attack on Russia

Murid writes:

• Putin was stuck somewhere seventy or a hundred years ago, when the war looked like a total destruction of the enemy. Modern threats look fundamentally different than they did 100-70 or even 50 years ago, and if you pump resources into a strategy that no longer works, then you simply squander them, and even in conditions when you simply squandered a significant part of them.

Nuclear weapons still deter the parties from all-out war with conventional weapons. Therefore, either conflicts of low intensity remain in the arsenal of opportunities, such as fighting in Syria or hybrid wars (inciting neighboring countries into a conflict, sanctions, economic pressure).

Today's threats look TOO DIFFERENT. Everything cannot be reduced to hybrid wars. And Putin's talk about nuclear deterrence is just one of the special cases of such a war. Sometimes it is worth recalling that there are boundaries and we are ready and able to react if they are crossed by the enemy

Murid can splash saliva or anything else as much as he likes, but the facts speak for the fact that he is wrong. And he can get emotional all he wants.

Murid writes:

• Putin, waging two local wars, failed to demonstrate in them nothing not only outstanding, but even worthy in terms of

Well, firstly, I counted only one war - in Syria against terrorist groups.

Second, is the task accomplished? Not completely, but more than - the remnants of the militants were docked either in Idlib or around the An-Tanaf American base. The Syrian authorities are already in a position to finish off the terrorist groups themselves.

Russia came at a moment when Damascus was ready to fall at the feet of the winner - international terrorism, behind which stood higher-ranking curators and financiers.

What do we see now? The power of Damascus has been restored over the vast majority of the country. Yes, by agreement with the Turks, the north is under their control, the Americans took the Kurds under the patronage. But:

a) there is no longer a threat to the statehood of the country - the armed forces have been restored;
b) the integral territoriality of the country was restored - Aleppo, Palmyra were liberated, unblocked (despite the help of American aviation to ISIS terrorists) from the long-term siege of Deir ez-Zor, numerous areas and boilers were liberated under the control of militants. Their remains were taken to the Idlib Zoo, where these spiders are trying to sort things out among themselves:
in) Syrian citizens are largely protected from terrorist attacks. Compared to what it was, the threats have decreased by 2-3 orders of magnitude.
G) Syrian air defense has been established, albeit with a creak, which is now capable of combating air threats even without the help of the Russians. But the Russians will still stand by.

End of 2015

In Syria, Russia also decided its geopolitical interests:

a) supported an important ally
b) most importantly, Russia has prevented the spread of terrorism outside of Syria. The radicals, after winning the country, would look for new areas of application for their activities. And first of all, these would be the southern regions of Russia and the Central Asian republics in the underbelly of Russia, and secondly, a wave of attacks and terrorist attacks would begin in large cities of Russia. All this was stopped there, in Syria
in) Russia has worked out many modern types of weapons.
- for the Americans, the power of Russian electronic warfare, "Caliber" turned out to be a complete revelation;
- the first combat use was made by Su-35s, the first combat use was made by strategic aviation, Russian aviation held the American F-22s in sight, almost the entire personnel of the Aerospace Forces went through Syria;
- the fleet received such "exercises" that in practice it would not have been possible to organize for any shishi in a simple life;
- new and promising (including robotic) weapons systems have been tested in real combat conditions. The use of modern technology in combat conditions has shown in which direction it should be improved;
- the Russian armed forces in practice and in the "stress mode" have worked out the issues of target designation, hitting targets,
- improved combat tactics of fighter, attack, army aviation;
- in practice (albeit standing on the sidelines) studied methods of countering American mass missile attacks. The conflict in Syria showed how and in what direction Russia should improve its air defense system and electronic warfare systems;
G) Russia has gained a foothold in this most important region of the world - the entire Middle East and the Eastern Mediterranean are nearby. They are firmly fixed and will not be knocked out. And this will force the enemy to seriously reckon with the Russian state on a huge range of geopolitical issues.

2) Murid did not like the words

Murid writes:

• Who prevents the Putin regime from spreading the reasonable, good, eternal, Putin prudently did not mention.

And this is the first case of mass murder in a Russian school in decades.
Before that, there were either attacks by teenagers with knives or axes. And one attack was with firearms - in February 2014, a 10th grade student of school No. 263 in the Otradnoye district (Moscow) shot his teacher. This was the end of the sacrifice.

If there is no mass scale, then it is possible to restrain these processes. Despite the presence of inadequate, which is in ANY society.
But of course, you can’t be complacent and stop keeping your finger on the pulse. From each case it is worth drawing conclusions. The last case speaks of the need to tighten the issuance of permits for firearms, especially at 18. You say - do they issue in the army? But the army is not the case. Moreover, a soldier will never go to school to shoot. And in civilian life, the minimum age at which you can purchase firearms and ammunition should be 21 years.

And I summarize a little on Anatoly.
I have been following his blog for many years, but his analytics, forecasts and thoughts have NEVER come true (if I missed something, correct me and give me a link). Although even according to the theory of probability, it should at least once fall into the "weather forecast", but this does not work either.

The only thing he has succeeded in at least a little bit is in the insiders that he sometimes gets (I suppose - probably thanks to his knowledge of Arabic) in public, forms and tweets of militants. No more. No, this work is also of course important, but El Murid has no other achievements. And even more so, you should not focus on his emotions, forecasts and so-called analytics. She never comes true.

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Tomorrow at 18:00 GMT (+4 Moscow time) Trump is due to make a statement regarding the nuclear deal with Iran. It can already be said that France and Great Britain will not revise it, emphasizing the need to control the agreement. The Europeans have not only political, but also purely economic interests related to both the supply of Iranian oil and their own projects in Iran, so they will break agreements with it only on a very serious occasion, which has not yet occurred. However, the United States and Israel, apparently, will not interfere either.

Moreover, in the struggle of the coalition with the pro-Iranian Shiite proxy groups, the Europeans are already taking part in clashes, in particular, the French literally today launched artillery strikes on the accumulation of Shiite formations on the left bank of the Euphrates. In general, the policy of the Europeans will be allied to the Americans in any situation, although they will certainly not go to break off relations with Iran. At least for now.

Trump, as you can understand, will make his statement according to two possible scenarios: tough and relatively neutral. The neutral one will consist in relatively abstract threats and support for Israel, but so far the P-6 agreement with Iran in this scenario will not be denounced by Trump. A tougher option would include a statement of deception on the part of Iran and a demand for tighter controls. All this will be presented in an ultimatum form, where the threat will be the termination of the contract or the revision of any part of it. Iran, of course, will refuse, and then Trump will have to make a final decision.

One way or another, but the future of a possible Israeli operation against Iranian military infrastructure in Syria and the intervention of the LAS countries in the east of the country will depend on Trump's decision tomorrow. Almost everything is ready for both, and Trump himself called on Israel and the Arab League to do this. It will be quite difficult for Trump to turn back.

In addition, there are no analogies with North Korea. Both Trump and Kim were raising the stakes on the quite inevitable proposal for future negotiations, so the US had a good reason to abandon the use of force scenario in favor of diplomacy. Now this option is ruled out: diplomats have already done everything possible, the treaty has been signed, withdrawal from the treaty does not mean a settlement, but a confrontation.

In general, the situation is quite tough, the solution space is small. The situation is rather delicate in the sense that the prospects are not entirely clear. On the other hand, a war (or at least a conflict) between Israel, the Arab League and Iran is an urgent issue. Now it can be resolved on the periphery - on the territory of a third country. In this case, Syria and Yemen. The situation there and there has degraded to such an extent that there are no more countries as such, there are only territories where external forces sort things out with each other. However, if the conflict is delayed, in a few years it may well move to the territory of either Iran, or Saudi Arabia, or Israel. And this is a completely different story, and completely different consequences.

The choice that Trump faces only seems simple - in reality it is a matter of the intensity of the future conflict. For now, he can get by with “little bloodshed,” although this will be little consolation for the pro-Iranian groups in Syria. However, the problem is that if the parties delay the conflict, having no prospects for its resolution by diplomatic means, in a few years it will move to a fundamentally different level. And it is unlikely that this is not understood in the States, Israel, Saudi Arabia and Iran itself.

Here is just a classic case when no one wanted war, it was inevitable. the whole question is where, when and how serious the future war will become.

This morning, having opened the LiveJournal of Anatoly Nesmiyan, known as El Murid, I found a screenshot of my text in the comment thread.
http://el-murid.livejournal.com/3121172.html#comments


It was about Nelli Rafikovna, the wife (according to rumors of a civilian) Anatoly and part-time his "administrator".
As you know, Nelly (or Nailya) has long been rampant in the comments to his posts. She behaves boorishly and bans everyone who does not agree with her "authoritative" opinion, which scares off readers.
Hu from Nelly (Nail) and what does she want?
Psychopathic personalities are always difficult to fit into some kind of framework, they are unpredictable and act impulsively, guided by emotions.
But if you look at who remained in El Murid's commentators, then these are people who blame Putin for all the troubles, and consider Strelkov a coward who fled the Donbass. In this they are no different from Putinists or maydauns.
At the same time, the audience of El Murida is very intelligent. Most of his readers simply stopped leaving comments, the rest carefully choose their words, but still stumble upon insults from the moderator.

Some facts about Nelli Rafikovna.
1. Dries according to Igor Ivanovich.
Despite the fact that now trolls, gays, Jews and other rascals will carry my words over the network, I will say: I have never been a fan of Igor.
Firstly, because I never fanate from anyone, which gives me the opportunity to critically evaluate a person’s actions.
Secondly, the one who beats his forehead through the word to some monarch and sings psalms after each squat is not my hero.
Thirdly, in social matters Strelok does not steer. From the word - in general.
In the war - perhaps he is a genius, but as for the currents of social parties, waving to whoever needs it, imposing the line of behavior that is expected of you and avoiding all this - he is a layman in this.
Not only is he a layman, he is also a stubborn dumbass (sorry moa), who will insist on his own until he hits the gate with his horns, like a ram, and is not convinced that the next rake numbered 5897054231 fits safely into the lobeshnik.
And if he continues to do what he does, then I will personally put a big and thick cross on him.

2. Jealous of his young wife.

"A young wife is unhealthy, I tell you as a woman." ani_al

3. Dislikes Vladimir Putin.

4. Doesn't like to argue.
He always loses in arguments. And trolls and psychopaths are mentally unbalanced, as you know, the most right-wing people in the world.

5. Doesn't like Jews.
Calls them Zhydami, but Article 282 does not threaten her, because she herself is a "multinational".

6. Considers herself an atheist.
For a person born in a Muslim republic, this is akin to a "feat", but in her case it is an ordinary protest.

7. Adheres to leftist views.
But not a communist, but on her own mind.

8. Sexually unsatisfied.
Therefore, the only source of orgasm is the ability to ban the next reader of El Murida's blog.

In general, I sat "like in Turkey" ...

With "creative legacy" el_murid everyone has been clear for a long time. We all swam there - we know. One of the few biographical notes about the client says:

He was repeatedly caught in the publication of analytical materials copied from a number of popular sites and presented as "author's".

This is the absolute truth. As an example of this kind of plagiarism, a material about Yemen is usually cited, which was once located at this address (now removed):
http://el-murid.livejournal.com/256334.html
Its original can be viewed here:
http://obsrvr.livejournal.com/1240254.html
Apparently, for this reason, the archive of our client's blog has been thoroughly cleaned and all posts written before 2012 have been completely removed from it. There is nothing to compare. Therefore, the factual basis for convicting a well-known blogger of plagiarism and ideological unscrupulousness is completely absent today.

Well, what can I say? Well done!

Concluding a very brief overview of the "creative heritage" el_murid , I note that the strongest gag reflex in me was caused by public showdowns el_murid and his wife ani_al with another equally famous blogger putnik1 about the kidnapping of well-known journalist Ankhar Kochneva in Syria anhar .

Well, creativity is creativity, and I was most perplexed by the peculiarities of El-Murida's biography. We all remember well that for quite a long time, even the name of this Internet character was made into a riddle. Two very short and miserable biographical notes about him that appeared on Wikipedia were quickly and decisively removed.

But we remember well that manuscripts do not burn, especially on the Internet. I managed to find both of these certificates - they were carefully preserved by El-Murida's "well-wishers":

Later, more detailed biographical information about our client was discovered. What do we learn from them?

El-Murid - Nesmiyan Anatoly Evgenievich. Born on August 11, 1965 in Ukraine, in the village of Krasilovka, Stavischensky district, Kyiv region. Graduated from the Faculty of Chemistry of the Moscow Institute of Chemical Technology. Lives in Naberezhnye Chelny (Tatarstan, Russian Federation).
Since 1991, he has been engaged in private business: Printing Yard LLC, Business Documentation Center LLC (printing); beer bar "Bier-Hoff". In connection with business unscrupulousness, he was brought to justice, in particular, for petty scams in business and attempts to evade taxes.
In 2011, the Russian Biographical Institute was named "Blogger of the Year" and awarded the "National Award in the Blogosphere" for "contribution to the development of civil society."
Since January 2012 - an employee of the ANNA-NEWS news agency (headed by Marat Musin), working in the center of the Syrian conflict. Calling himself an "orientalist" and "military expert", he relays ANNA-NEWS materials. In the same capacity, he appears on the pages of Vzglyad, in the programs Den-TV and Neuromir. Actively promotes the idea of ​​Russia's self-exclusion from the Syrian events.
Published in collaboration with M. Musin the book “Libya, Syria. Further everywhere!”. For this book, on the proposal of the co-chair of the Left Front D. A. Mitina, he was awarded the international prize of the Union of Writers of Russia "Imperial Culture" named after. Eduard Volodin in the section "Publicism" ...
...According to some reports, he maintains contacts with representatives of the "Friends of Syria" in Moscow. He was involved in the disappearance in Syria of a Russian journalist, a citizen of Ukraine, Ankhar Kochneva, who on the eve reported that she had evidence of his links with the Syrian armed opposition. According to his own statements, he has accurate information about the fate of the kidnapped, but out of personal hostility refuses to tell them to the official bodies of Russia, Ukraine and Syria, conducting a search.

This is where the complete dregs begin: confusion with the date of birth and occupation, some deaf and obviously tortured hints that the client belongs to the intelligence community, the combination of highbrow Internet analytics with commercial rabbit breeding, etc., etc. But complete fog creeps in when you try to analyze Murid's political preferences. In his posts, Murid tries in every possible way to disguise his views and portray an unbiased analyst. However, in addition to Murid’s very dubious behavior during the days of the Libyan war, the murky and rotten story with Ankhar Kochneva, which, due to its turbidity and rottenness, I simply don’t want to discuss, there is also a thoroughly reasoned point of view, according to which Murid in the Syrian conflict is on the side of the Wahhabis , against Russia's consistent ally President Assad. In his recent posts, he actively supports the Nazi-Vlasov group in the leadership of the Donetsk People's Republic and fiercely, although obviously from someone else's voice, criticizes those who express reasonable doubts about the goals and results of the Borodai-Girkin group.

From the last interview el_murid Neuromir-TV, which he gave following the results of his trip to the Donbass, follows that he has long and well known Borodai and Strelkov. During his trip to Donetsk (organized by whom?), he closely communicated with them in an informal setting (especially with Strelkov) and was even admitted to closed military meetings (why would that be?).

Here everything becomes completely cloudy and slippery, and the personality of citizen Nesmiyan begins to completely dissolve in the waves of political fog.

Then I decided to look around Murid… and realized that it was not in vain that for many hours I was immersed in the results of someone else's life.

According to the same Vershinin putnik1 , in 1990-1993, citizen Nesmiyan, worked as an assistant to the People's Deputy of the Russian Federation Viktor Aksyuchits. And who is Mr. Aksyuchits? Reading:

In the 70s he was a member of the dissident movement. For the distribution of emigrant religious and political literature in 1979, he was expelled from the CPSU and expelled from graduate school. In the late 80s, he participated in the activities of the Church and Perestroika movement and the People's Labor Union of Russian Solidarists.

Sonderverband Bergmann (German Sonderverband Bergmann - "special detachment Highlander") - a special group "Bergmann" or Special Purpose Battalion "Bergmann". It was a military formation of the German Abwehr during the Second World War, created from five separate companies, staffed by volunteers from the North Caucasus. The battalion used a traditional Caucasian dagger as its badge, the patch with which was worn on the left side of the uniform sleeve.

Here, in my opinion, there is no need to even explain anything - citizen Nesmiyan has been actively cooperating with Nazi henchmen for a long time.

And a final note about the immediate environment el_murid .

The price of "Putin's forks" (El Murid / A. Baranov / M. Kalashnikov)
https://youtu.be/pp0awBAPnws

Maxim Kalashnikov, El Murid, Anatoly Baranov - in a multi-theme program.

May 2, Moscow, 13:00, Suvorovskaya Square. Rally "Remember Odessa".
- Did "Putin's forks" come true?
- Do we need a useless Belgorod submarine with no less failed Poseidon torpedoes when healthcare is falling apart in the country?
- What "success" in Syria was shown by the VIII Moscow Conference on International Security MCIS-2019?
- What's with the Donbass?
- Is there a foreign policy strategy of the Russian Federation at all? Valuable confessions of Shapiro-Soloviev.
- Should I go to the March of the Immortal Regiment and tie a striped ribbon around myself?
- Why did the new Ukrainian nationalism turn out to be stronger than the Russian one?
#Poseidon #remember_odessa

Maxim Kalashnikov

APATHY IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION IS A SIGN…

Like it or not, but the proximity of perestroika-2 is felt. And even for the apathy that has now captured the Russian Federation. I remember very well the same mood in the USSR in 1982. Like, nothing can be changed, it remains only to go with the flow.

Take the current RF. Almost universal disorder, poverty and misery. And at the same time - unwillingness to protest at all. Everyone seems to have reconciled and just vegetate. Not even thinking about what will happen tomorrow. The authorities can do with this indifferent mass everything that comes into their heads. She is sure that everything is seized inside her, in 2024 she can introduce a monarchy - and everything will be covered up.

But external factors, from where a blow can come, she does not control in any way.

Add to this the obvious crisis of power itself. After all, she fails to portray dynamism even with the help of propaganda. The Olympics with the football championship are over, and now there is nothing to brag about. Well, this "litka" does not have any achievements and accomplishments comparable to the great Soviet ones. New scientific and industrial giants such as Uralmash or Energia are not rising. There is nothing like the great aviation triumphs of the USSR. At least like the giant aircraft of the 1930s, at least like the appearance of a range of the most beautiful flying equipment in the early and mid-80s. In space - rotten. In robotics, electronics, biotech - the cat also cried success. In Natotech - one red face. In general, nothing epochal can be presented. The endless broadcasts about weapons are already nauseating. “Victories” in Syria do not inspire anyone. From the endless talking on TV about "successes" in foreign policy, the people (I see from those around them) also experience a gag reflex, no matter how hard Solovyov or Sheinin try. The voices of those who say that there are failures in Ukraine and Syria are getting louder. That the foreign policy of the Russian Federation is extremely wasteful nonsense and stupidity.

And the growing need is no longer possible to hide. Periodic attempts to raise hysteria in the style of "Tomorrow - a nuclear war!" since 2007 they have become boring and no longer operate. Worn out, zaezdili, the perception of the masses dulled.

In the ideological and inspiring terms, the authorities are also unable to offer anything. Here she is completely infertile. It all boils down to two things.

(